research

peer-reviewed articles

  1. Melnick, Justin. 2025. Domestic Inequality, Heterogeneous Redistribution, and the Globalization Backlash. Forthcoming, Journal of Theoretical Politics.

    [journal] [pre-print]

  2. Melnick, Justin, Alastair Smith, and Bruce Bueno de Mesquita. 2024. Political Life Cycles. Forthcoming, Journal of Politics.

    [manuscript] [appendix] [replication]

  3. Melnick, Justin and Alastair Smith. 2025. Shaming Paris: A Political Economy of Climate Commitments. International Organization 79(2): 281-305.

    [journal] [pre-print] [appendix]

  4. Melnick, Justin. 2024. Domestic Politics in the European Union’s Emissions Trading System: Evidence from Free Allowance Allocation. Journal of Political Institutions and Political Economy 5(4): 627-657.

    [journal] [pre-print] [appendix]

  5. Melnick, Justin and Alastair Smith. 2023. International Negotiations in the Shadow of Elections. Journal of Conflict Resolution 67(7-8): 1452-1481.

    [journal] [pre-print] [appendix]

working papers

  1. Melnick, Justin. 2025. Learning and Free-Riding in International Climate Policymaking. (job market paper)

    [manuscript] [appendix]

  2. Melnick, Justin. 2025. Information and Climate (In)action.

    [manuscript] [appendix]

  3. Melnick, Justin. 2025. Where Did the Green Voters Go? Green Party Vote Shares and Public Support for Climate Policy.

    [manuscript] [appendix]

  4. Melnick, Justin. 2025. Pledge-and-Review, Domestic Politics, and Global Public Goods Provision.

    [manuscript] [appendix]

  5. Kennard, Amanda and Justin Melnick. 2025. Divergent Decarbonization: Great Power Competition and the Coming Climate Transition.

    [manuscript] [appendix]

works in progress

  1. Melnick, Justin. 2025. Coordination and Agency Problems in International Climate Finance.

  2. Melnick, Justin. 2025. Leaders and Followers in International Climate Politics.

  3. Conevska, Aleksandra and Justin Melnick. 2023. Policy Interventions as Experimental Treatments: Applications to Climate Politics.

other writing

case studies

  1. Melnick, Justin. 2023. The Politics of Formulating and Implementing Climate Policies in the Netherlands. EGAP.

    [pdf]

commentary

  1. Jan, Farah and Justin Melnick. 2019. After Trump’s Hong Kong Democracy Act, China Is Still Winning, Foreign Policy.

    [link]

  2. Jan, Farah and Justin Melnick. 2020. China’s Challenge to America’s Political and Economic Liberal Order, The National Interest.

    [link]