research

peer-reviewed articles

  1. Melnick, Justin, Alastair Smith, and Bruce Bueno de Mesquita. 2026. Political Life Cycles. Journal of Politics 88(1): 363-376.

    [journal] [pre-print] [appendix] [replication]

  2. Melnick, Justin. 2025. Domestic Inequality, Heterogeneous Redistribution, and the Globalization Backlash. Journal of Theoretical Politics 37(4): 319-343.

    [journal] [pre-print]

  3. Melnick, Justin and Alastair Smith. 2025. Shaming Paris: A Political Economy of Climate Commitments. International Organization 79(2): 281-305.

    [journal] [pre-print] [appendix]

  4. Melnick, Justin. 2024. Domestic Politics in the European Union’s Emissions Trading System: Evidence from Free Allowance Allocation. Journal of Political Institutions and Political Economy 5(4): 627-657.

    [journal] [pre-print] [appendix]

  5. Melnick, Justin and Alastair Smith. 2023. International Negotiations in the Shadow of Elections. Journal of Conflict Resolution 67(7-8): 1452-1481.

    [journal] [pre-print] [appendix]

working papers

  1. Melnick, Justin. 2025. Learning and Free-Riding in International Climate Policymaking.

    [manuscript] [appendix]

  2. Melnick, Justin. 2026. Information and Climate (In)action.

    [manuscript] [appendix]

  3. Melnick, Justin. 2026. Green Party Vote Shares and Public Support for Climate Policy.

    [manuscript] [appendix]

  4. Melnick, Justin. 2026. Strategic Obfuscation in International Benchmarking.

    [manuscript] [appendix]

  5. Kennard, Amanda and Justin Melnick. 2025. Repealing the ``Green New Scam’’: Climate Retrenchment and Competitive Redistribution in a World of Green Industrial Policy.

    [manuscript] [appendix]

  6. Melnick, Justin and Alastair Smith. 2026. Staying in Power, Cutting the Power: Leader Tenure and Electricity Distribution.

    [manuscript] [appendix]

  7. Torreblanca, Carolina and Justin Melnick. 2026. Democratic Participation without Democrats: Evidence from 109 Countries.

    [manuscript] [appendix]

other writing

case studies

  1. Melnick, Justin. 2023. The Politics of Formulating and Implementing Climate Policies in the Netherlands. EGAP.

    [pdf]

commentary

  1. Jan, Farah and Justin Melnick. 2019. After Trump’s Hong Kong Democracy Act, China Is Still Winning, Foreign Policy.

    [link]

  2. Jan, Farah and Justin Melnick. 2020. China’s Challenge to America’s Political and Economic Liberal Order, The National Interest.

    [link]